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Fuel Crisis Strains Southeast Asia as Supply Chains Reach Breaking Point

A severe fuel crisis is sweeping Southeast Asia, driven by ongoing Middle East tensions that are disrupting global energy supplies. Countries from the Philippines to Thailand are experiencing shortages, price surges, and rationing measures, threatening both regional stability and international supply chains.

Widespread Impact Across Southeast Asia

Major urban centers such as Ninoy Aquino International Airport, Noi Bai International Airport, and Soekarno-Hatta International Airport are witnessing daily long queues at fuel stations. The disruption stems from the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a crucial transit route for Asian energy imports.

  • Philippines: The government has introduced a mandatory four-day workweek for several sectors to reduce fuel consumption.
  • Vietnam: Retail fuel prices increased by over 20% overnight, prompting businesses to encourage remote work to conserve fuel.
  • Indonesia: Subsidies have kept prices relatively stable, but state reserves are being heavily drawn down to prevent unrest seen in neighboring capitals.
Diesel thailand shortage

Economic Ripple Effects Extending to Europe

The crisis is affecting European industries reliant on Southeast Asian production. Rising oil prices—currently near $110 per barrel—are driving up the cost of shipping, manufacturing, and plastic packaging. Economists warn that diesel shortages, essential for regional logistics, could cause delays in the “just-in-time” supply chains for electronics, textiles, and other goods exported to Europe.

Divergent Policy Approaches

Governments are adopting different strategies to manage fuel costs:

  • Vietnam and Thailand: Rapid price adjustments paired with targeted tax relief, including Vietnam’s recent reduction of oil import tariffs to zero.
  • Indonesia: Large-scale government absorption of fuel costs, a method experts caution may be unsustainable if disruptions continue through the summer.

Moving Toward Energy Independence

Regional authorities are accelerating initiatives to reduce reliance on Middle Eastern oil. Indonesia is promoting higher biodiesel blends, while Vietnam is implementing emergency coal-to-power measures. Despite these efforts, the immediate focus remains on avoiding empty fuel pumps and potential social unrest. As one regional analyst observed: “The price of fuel is high, but the price of a total standstill is much higher.”

2026-03-23